Positive
Project advancing - milestone achieved
High Impact
Major milestone or critical setback
Forecast-purpose estimate, not extracted from source. Ireland's National Policy Statement on Electricity Interconnection (July 2023) lists "a connection to Belgium/Netherlands" as a single paired aspiration to be tested against feasibility. The trilateral Ireland-Belgium-UK Joint Statement signed in Bruges on 15 May 2023 (Ryan/van der Straeten/Bowie) established a working group due to report in H1 2025; that report is not yet publicly accessible. No equivalent Ireland-Netherlands intergovernmental agreement exists as of May 2026. Applying a Celtic-Interconnector-class build cycle of approximately 11-12 years to the May 2023 trilateral IGA gives 2035 as the working estimate, matching the paired Ireland-Belgium projection. Treat as forecast input with low confidence; supersede when a Netherlands-specific scoping study or developer appointment publishes.