Positive
Project advancing - milestone achieved
High Impact
Major milestone or critical setback
DELAYED +3yr (May 2026): first-power projection re-anchored to a 2028 retender assumption. Previous quarter-precision projection at Q2 2031 assumed a 2026 retender + 3-4 year build, which became invalid when the 2026 subsidy slot was reallocated to IJmuiden Ver Gamma-A (Jan 2026 letter to Parliament) and IJV Gamma-B (3 Apr 2026 announcement). The RVO master roadmap (last checked 6 May 2026) lists Nederwiek I-A commissioning as 'To be determined'. Consolidated assumption: retender 2028 (TBD; CfD framework launches end-2027) -> construction start 2032 -> first power 2034. Year precision used given the uncertainty.