Positive
Project advancing - milestone achieved
High Impact
Major milestone or critical setback
Year-precision projection — Final Investment Decision by end-2029. Inferred from the Q1 2027 subsidy/permit award anchor and the 2032 first-power anchor stated by RVO via offshorewind.biz, 6 April 2026: "The Netherlands Enterprise Agency (RVO) expects to grant the subsidy decisions and associated permits in the first quarter of 2027" and "The wind farms are likely to start generating energy from 2032." Reasoning: typical Dutch offshore wind FID timing is 18-30 months post-permit (IJV Alpha precedent: permit granted 11 June 2024, original FID target "late 2025" missed by 12+ months and now projected at end-2026 per SSE/APG guidance). Applying the conservative end-of-range to Gamma-A: Q1 2027 permit + ~30 months = end-2029. This also leaves an offshore-construction window of ~24 months before the 2032 first-power anchor, consistent with industry-standard 1 GW build timelines. No explicit FID date has been published by Dutch authorities for Gamma-A (developer not yet selected); this is an inferred placeholder pending winning-bidder announcement and subsequent investor guidance. Confidence is low-to-moderate (~0.5) given developer-attribution uncertainty.