Positive
Project advancing - milestone achieved
High Impact
Major milestone or critical setback
DELAYED +1yr (May 2026): Wojewoda Pomorski Pozwolenie na budowę needs final asset-bundle design (turbine + foundation + cable + OSS), which depends on supplier-selection. B1's first Supplier Day was 16 Sep 2025; baltyk123.pl's 16 Dec 2025 wrap-up reports zero turbine / foundation / cable / OSS contracts for B1 (vs. B2/3 with all majors signed by end-2025). Design freeze before 2027 unlikely; no building-permit application lodged as of May 2026. Plus the 90-day statutory review (Offshore Wind Promotion Act 2020 Art. 50-58) and the convention that permit precedes FID by 6-12 months: realistic permit issuance 2028 vs the developer's post-CfD 'by 2027' statement (Windtech 19 Dec 2025). AC base case. HVDC scenario: a 2024 PSE application to switch the connection conditions to HVDC remains unresolved per the 2026-02-28 PSE register (UoP still dated 2021-01-29). If PSE later approves, add +1-2 years for HVDC converter slot constraints (Hitachi/Siemens Energy/GE booked into 2030-31) and converter-platform design iteration. --- Following Bałtyk 1's 17 December 2025 CfD award in Poland's first offshore wind auction (PLN 492.32/MWh for 25 years), Equinor and Polenergia indicated 2027 as the target year for obtaining the Pozwolenie na budowę (building permit) for the 1,560 MW project, alongside the Final Investment Decision targeted in the same year. The building permit is the canonical project-wide construction consent for Polish offshore wind under Ustawa z dnia 7 lipca 1994 r. Prawo budowlane (Construction Law) Art. 28-49, issued by the Wojewoda Pomorski (for Pomeranian-coast projects) and verifying the technical design against the building code, the DŚU environmental conditions (final ostateczna decision secured 28 April 2025), the grid connection agreement (PSE, signed January 2021; HVDC change application pending since 2024), and the PSZW prerequisites. Under Offshore Wind Promotion Act 2020 Art. 50-58 the building permit will be immediately enforceable on the Wojewoda's signing date with a 90-day statutory issuance timeline. The project plans up to 104 turbines on the Central Shoal ~81 km offshore, with commercial operations targeted in 2032. This is a forward-looking projection from the developers and industry reporting; actual signing date will depend on the Wojewoda's review of the building-permit application yet to be lodged.